The Atlanta Falcons rose to 5-9 with a last-second win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football. The victory energized the Dirty Bird fanbase, even though Atlanta is officially out of the playoff race.
In this article, we’ll share the 2025 Atlanta Falcons schedule as well as an analysis of each game, which we’ll attend in person.
2025 Atlanta Falcons Schedule
The Falcons have some great games on their schedule, including a Monday Night Football (MNF) showdown and two Sunday Night Football (SNF) games. Another highlight is their Week 10 game against the Indianapolis Colts, which will be played in Berlin, Germany, at Olympic Stadium.
| Week | Opponent | Date and Time (EST) | Score (Falcons vs. Opponent) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sun, Sep 7, 1:00 PM | L 20-23 |
| 2 | @ Minnesota Vikings | Sun, Sep 14, 8:20 PM (SNF) | W 22-6 |
| 3 | @ Carolina Panthers | Sun, Sep 21, 1:00 PM | L 0-30 |
| 4 | Washington Commanders | Sun, Sep 28, 1:00 PM | W 34-27 |
| 5 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 6 | Buffalo Bills | Mon, Oct 13, 8:15 PM (MNF) | W 24-14 |
| 7 | @ San Francisco 49ers | Sun, Oct 19, 8:20 PM (SNF) | L 10-20 |
| 8 | Miami Dolphins | Sun, Oct 26, 1:00 PM | L 10-34 |
| 9 | @ New England Patriots | Sun, Nov 2, 1:00 PM | L 23-24 |
| 10 | @ Indianapolis Colts (Berlin) | Sun, Nov 9, 9:30 AM | L 25-31 |
| 11 | Carolina Panthers | Sun, Nov 16, 1:00 PM | L 27-30 |
| 12 | @ New Orleans Saints | Sun, Nov 23, 4:25 PM | W 24-10 |
| 13 | @ New York Jets | Sun, Nov 30, 1:00 PM | L 24-27 |
| 14 | Seattle Seahawks | Sun, Dec 7, 1:00 PM | L 9-37 |
| 15 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Thu, Dec 11, 8:15 PM (TNF) | W 29-28 |
| 16 | @ Arizona Cardinals | Sun, Dec 21, 4:05 PM | |
| 17 | Los Angeles Rams | Mon, Dec 29, 8:15 PM (MNF) | |
| 18 | @ New Orleans Saints | Sat/Sun, Jan 3/4, TBD |
How Will the Falcons Do In 2025?
Below is a week-by-week breakdown of their opponents, based on the official schedule, along with an analysis of whether the Falcons are likely to win or lose each game and the reasoning behind each prediction.
The analysis considers the Falcons’ strengths (e.g., offensive firepower with Michael Penix Jr., Drake London, and Bijan Robinson; improved defense with draft picks like Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr.), weaknesses (e.g., unproven quarterback in Penix, defensive pass rush concerns), and opponent dynamics (e.g., 2024 performance, roster changes, and coaching).
The Falcons’ 2025 strength of schedule is the fourth-easiest in the NFL, per Sharp Football Analysis, with opponents having a .478 winning percentage from 2024, which could favor Atlanta.
With that being said, don’t expect Penix to change who he is.
Atlanta Falcons 2025 Schedule and Game-by-Game Analysis
As the full-time starter, Penix’s ability to manage games and avoid turnovers is critical. His 2024 cameo (1-2 record) showed promise but inconsistency.
With elite weapons like London, Robinson, and Pitts, he has the tools to succeed, but his inexperience against top defenses (e.g., Bills, 49ers) could lead to losses
Week 1: Falcons, 20-Tampa Bay 23
Despite a valiant fourth-quarter comeback led by second-year quarterback Michael Penix Jr., the Falcons couldn’t overcome a resilient Buccaneers squad, leaving Atlanta fans with a familiar sting of what might have been.
Kicking off the season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Falcons welcomed divisional rival Tampa Bay with fireworks – literally, as the pregame show lit up the sky. Michael Penix Jr., in his first full NFL start, dazzled with 298 passing yards, carving up the Bucs secondary like a Thanksgiving turkey. Bijan Robinson powered through for 100 rushing yards, looking every bit the franchise RB we hoped for.
But a late interception by Penix stalled a game-tying drive, and Tampa’s kicker nailed a 52-yarder as time expired. Drake London snagged 55 receiving yards in a gritty effort, but the defense couldn’t stop Baker Mayfield’s scrambling. A tough 3-point pill to swallow in front of a raucous home crowd. Read up on the game.
Week 2: Falcons, 22; Minnesota Vikings, 6
Facing the Vikings in primetime on the road was a tough early test. Minnesota, a second-place finisher in the NFC North in 2024, boasted a potent offense led by Justin Jefferson and a defense that ranked top-10 in points allowed last season.
Atlanta bounced back big in Minnesota, turning U.S. Bank Stadium into a Falcons fan outpost. Penix was efficient if not spectacular (135 yards), but the real hero was Robinson, who bulldozed for 143 yards and a TD, gashing a Vikings run D that couldn’t keep up.
The Falcons’ defense, led by Jessie Bates III’s two picks, smothered Sam Darnold all day, holding Minnesota to field goals only. London added 49 receiving yards, and a pick-six from A.J. Terrell sealed the shutout vibe. First win on the board – Dirty Birds fly high!
Penix, still adjusting as a starter, struggled against Brian Flores’ blitz-heavy scheme, especially with Atlanta’s offensive line facing pressure. The Falcons’ defense rose to the occasion, flustering JJ McCarthy all night. Falcons win as kicker Parker Romo goes 5-for-5.
Week 3: Falcons 0; Carolina Panthers, 30
Oof. Down in Charlotte, the Falcons laid a total egg against a Panthers team everyone circled as an easy W. Penix managed 172 passing yards, but the O-line crumbled, sacking him five times and turning every drive into a three-and-out. Robinson scraped together 72 rushing yards before the mercy rule vibes set in, and London was quiet at 55 yards. Bryce Young lit up Atlanta’s secondary for 300+ yards and three scores, exposing coverage gaps.
A shutout loss to a sub-.500 foe? Not the statement we needed. Time to regroup. The Panthers, a perennial NFC South bottom-dweller, are still rebuilding, but they didn’t show it on this day.
Week Falcons 34, Washington Commanders 27
The Commanders, second-place finishers in the NFC East in 2024, were without Jayden Daniels and that was all the leeway the Falcons needed. Penix mastered Dan Quinn’s aggressive defense, using the momentum and Atlanta’s defensive playmaking to steal a tight game.
Back home, the Falcons hosted Washington and delivered a shootout for the ages. Penix Jr. owned the day with 313 passing yards and two TDs, syncing perfectly with London’s breakout 110-yard, one-score performance.
Robinson grinded out 75 yards, but it was the defense’s late stands – including a goal-line stop – that preserved the lead. Jayden Daniels kept it close for the Commanders, but Atlanta’s red-zone efficiency (3-for-3 TDs) proved decisive. 34 points at home? That’s the explosive offense Raheem Morris envisioned. Rise Up indeed.
Week 5: Bye Week
Week 6: Falcons 24, Buffalo 14
The Atlanta Falcons delivered a statement performance on Monday Night Football, dismantling the Buffalo Bills 24-14 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a game that had Red and Black faithful roaring from the opening kickoff.
With explosive runs, precise passing, and an opportunistic defense, the Falcons improved to 3-2 on the season, marking their second straight victory over a playoff team from last year. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. shone in his steady command of the offense, while the run game terrorized Buffalo’s defense. As the city buzzes with excitement heading into a pivotal matchup against the 49ers, here are five key takeaways from the thrilling upset.
After the bye, the Falcons hosted Buffalo on Monday Night Football under the lights – and what a show. Penix tossed for 250 yards, but Robinson stole the spotlight with a monster 170 rushing yards and two TDs, wearing down Buffalo’s front like he was back at Texas.
London exploded for 158 receiving yards, including a 60-yard bomb that had the Dome erupting. Josh Allen managed a late garbage-time score, but Atlanta’s secondary, anchored by Mike Hughes, forced two turnovers. A statement win against an AFC contender – Atlanta’s feeling dangerous.
Week 7: San Francisco 49ers 20, Falcons 10
The 49ers, despite occasional inconsistency, remain NFC contenders with Kyle Shanahan’s offensive genius and a strong front seven. They showed it against the Falcons, with relentless pressure on Penix from Nick Bosa and company.
On the road against the defending champs, the Falcons hung tough early but faded late in Santa Clara. Penix threw for 241 yards, spreading the ball to Mooney (68 yards) amid London’s quiet night. Robinson was bottled up at 40 yards by Nick Bosa & Co., and the run game sputtered
Brock Purdy diced up the secondary for 280 yards, and the Niners’ ground attack chewed clock. A fumble returned for TD sealed it. Competitive, but not enough – back to the drawing board.
Week 8: Miami Dolphins 34, Falcons 10
The Dolphins, led by Tua Tagovailoa, shocked the NFL on Oct. 26 with a 34-10 blowout of the Falcons, which nobody saw coming. Despite Atlanta’s home advantage and improving defensive front, Tua moved the ball with relative ease and the Dolphins’ defense was opportunistic from the start.
Hosting Miami’s speed demons, Atlanta got torched by Tua Tagovailoa’s quick game. Cousins, making his Falcons debut, went 173 yards with a TD to Pitts (59 yards), but the O-line allowed four sacks, and Robinson managed just 25 yards on the turf.
The Fins’ no-huddle offense gassed the defense, racking up 400+ yards. Tyreek Hill’s 150-yard day was a nightmare. A blowout at home stings – questions swirling about the scheme.
Week 9: at New England Patriots 24, Falcons 23
The Patriots, under Mike Vrabel, are supposed to be in rebuilding mode with quarterback Drake Maye — but nobody told New England’s defense, which limited Penix and Bijan Robinson to control the clock. The Falcons’ pass rush, with Pearce and Walker, couldn’t contain New England’s offensive line, leading to a 24-23 loss for the Falcons on the road.
The defense forced two turnovers, but Drake Maye’s rookie magic included a game-winning drive capped by a field goal. Atlanta had the ball last, down 3, but Penix’s overthrow ended it. So close – the NFC East rivalry feels cursed.
Week 10: Indianapolis Colts 31, Falcons 25 (OT)
The international game pitted Atlanta against a Colts team with quarterback Daniel Jones. The neutral site in Berlin was no help for Atlanta which fought back to tie the score in the final minutes but couldn’t stop Indy from tying it up in regulation. In overtime, the Falcons got the ball first, but couldn’t convert. The Colts drove down the field and won the game.
In a Berlin showdown (yes, NFL went international again), the Falcons pushed Indy to extras but fell short. Penix passed for 177 yards, while Robinson’s 84 rushing yards kept drives alive. London shone with 104 yards, including a circus catch. Daniel Jones wore down Atlanta’s front, forcing OT. Falcons fought, but overseas travel curse strikes again.
Week 11: Bye Week
Analysis: The early bye (earliest since 2017) allows Atlanta to rest and refine their game plan, critical for Penix’s development and defensive adjustments under Jeff Ulbrich.
Week 12: New Orleans Saints 24, Falcons 10
Finally, a divisional dub! In the Caesars Superdome, Cousins steadied the ship with 199 yards and a TD, while Robinson’s 70 yards set up Mooney’s 74-yard breakout.
The Falcons’ pass rush harassed the Saints into multiple mistakes. A dominant second half turned a close game into a rout. NFC South? We’re back in it, baby.
The Saints, in rebuild mode with young quarterback Tyler Shough, were vulnerable and Atlanta took advantage. Atlanta’s home dominance against New Orleans (4-2 in recent years) continued as Kirk Cousins threw over the top of the Saints defense to earn the victory.
Week 13: New York Jets 27, Falcons 24
(Away, Nov. 30, 1:00 p.m. ET) The Jets, with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback, made just enough plays to oust the Falcons in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
Atlanta controlled the trenches early. Cousins threw for 234 yards, and Robinson dazzled with 142 rushing yards – his best since Week 6. Pitts hauled in 82 yards, but a late Jets TD run flipped the script. Despite a valiant effort, Atlanta fell.
Week 14: vs. Seattle Seahawks 37, Falcons 9
(Home, Dec. 7, 1:00 p.m. ET) This home-game matchup with Seattle was a must-win at home, but it was not to be. The Falcons’ lack of offensive firepower and poor road performance played into Seattle’s hands.
Up against the Seahawks’ front four, it was a defensive disaster. Cousins managed 162 yards, but the run game (Robinson 86 yards) couldn’t sustain. Rout city – time to lick wounds.
Week 15: Tampa Bay 28, Falcons 29
Short week, same foe – but revenge tasted sweet! Cousins erupted for 373 yards and three TDs, torching Tampa with Pitts’ career-night 152 yards (three scores). Robinson added 93 rushing yards for balance. Down 28-17 late, a 75-yard TD to Mooney and onside kick recovery flipped it. Baker Mayfield’s INT sealed the divisional split. Electric win – Falcons alive!
Week 16: vs. Seattle Seahawks (Home, Dec. 21, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Prediction: Win
Analysis: Seattle, with Sam Darnold at quarterback, is a middle-tier NFC West team. Atlanta’s home advantage and defensive improvements neutralize Seattle’s passing attack. Cousins, familiar with Darnold from his 2024 Vikings performance, avoids mistakes, and the Falcons’ run game controls the clock. Atlanta moves to 6-9, keeping playoff hopes alive.
Week 17: vs. Los Angeles Rams (Home, Dec. 29, Monday Night Football, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Prediction: Win
Analysis: This primetime matchup pits Raheem Morris and Zac Robinson against their former team. The Rams, led by Sean McVay, are formidable, the Birds will win.
Week 18: at New Orleans Saints (Away, Jan. 3/4, TBD)
Prediction: Win
Analysis: The season finale in New Orleans could decide the NFC South. The Saints, way out of playoff contention, lack the firepower to match Atlanta’s offense. Cousins, getting back into a groove, outshines New Orleans’ quarterback Tyler Shough, and the Falcons’ defense dominates.
How Will the Falcons’ Season End Up?
- Predicted Record: 8-9
Final Word
Can the Falcons show enough this year for owner Arthur Blank to keep Raheem Morris? It all depends on a lot of factors, including injuries, Cousins’ veteran play and the defense’s ability to turn the ball over.
The Falcons ranked 31st in sacks and 23rd in total defense in 2024, leading to Jimmy Lake’s firing. Jeff Ulbrich’s scheme, paired with draft picks Jalon Walker, James Pearce Jr., and Xavier Watts, aims to boost the pass rush and secondary. Success against mobile quarterbacks (e.g., Fields, Murray) and strong offenses (e.g., Buffalo, Miami) will determine their ceiling.